There are a lot of moving parts to answer this question. Tex is right. The raffle may delay things. So can stock, the sheer volume of orders, and the fact that a new movie just came out. When TFA came out, the stock hit an insane backorder, and some took months.
While I doubt they are experiencing anything like this, it's safe to guess the current order volume is higher than normal. Your best bet is to contact US at
info@ultrasabers.com and see what they can tell you.